All Yours

 

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How did we get here?

For the millions, no billions of christians around the world today is a day to celebrate – Christ has risen – Rejoice!   This happiness however must be tinged with just a little apprehension as this weekend is also the time when we all must look on and wonder – just who will blink first – the Donald or the Dear Leader?   Or should that be the Donald or President Xi?   At least two of those people in this menage a trois are at best unstable so the chances of a misstep can’t be discounted.

This crisis seems to have creeped on the world  without few people being aware of it.   Just 10 days ago everyone was still contemplating just how President Trump would handle the forthcoming meeting with the President of China and then everything changed – America lobbed a few missiles, by the standards of the United States arsenal they really were nothing to talk about, at Syria and before we know it the war in Korea is about to restart.  A week in the Donald Trump world is like a whole year in any other.

There are many ways of reading what just happened.   One way would be to see this as a great game played by the master Donald Trump.  In this game he feints incompetence to lull the Chinese into a false sense of superiority as they have a face to face meeting with Mr Trump.   Mr Trump then uses the excuse of a chemical weapons attack in Syria, controlled by his friend President Putin, to demonstrate just how really powerful America is and suddenly the pressure really is back on China.  This is a badass President who you must treat seriously and give what he wants.   Trump then pivots to North Korea, where America has legitimate security concerns and starts some serious sabre rattling in an effort to make China to do something they really don’t want to do – cripple the North Korean economy and thereby destroy the security threat, however theoretical, to the western seaboard of the continental USA.  This would then be a great ‘win’ for the USA and President Trump and his poll ratings will rise.  There is of course another interpretation of the whole thing and that is a President with no plan or understanding of what he really is getting himself into and seeing his Syrian actions getting a poll bump and thinking he can save his presidency by acting tough with North Korea .   I haven’t got the first clue as to which is more likely to be true apart from the following:

  • The power of the United States military is such that it can quite easily handle what North Korea can throw at it.   It won’t be easy but they have been planning for such an eventuality and you have to assume that they know very well where the North Korean assets are placed and have plans to destroy them before they can really do any serious harm;
  • The ruling elite in North Korea may well try and deploy their nuclear weapon in some form or another against South Korea.  However, whether they are able to do or whether there is some form of a coup to prevent such an eventuality is anyone’s guess;
  • There is no way of knowing just how capable the North Korean army really is – there certainly is an awful lot of them;
  • It is unclear what China will do should the Korean war resume – although it is clear that they will not like the humiliation involved but beyond that they have far far too much to loose to let the whole thing go on for long.   This is not the 1950s – China is now part of the world economy and it is vital for China to be able to trade with the world.  This doesn’t mean that there won’t be consequences beyond the Korean peninsular;
  • How Russia would react to a resumption of the Korean war is unclear – however it will once more underline just how unimportant in the modern world Russia is.  We now live in a China/US world and Russia will be just another spectator.  I am sure that President Putin won’t like the world reminded of this;
  • There are too many things that could go wrong for any one person to believe that they are in control of all the circumstances and it would be the height of hubris to think that they do.

I was thinking about all of this yesterday when I made the two pieces.  It then struck me that that somewhere in my subconscious I must have been thinking about the shadows cast by the first nuclear bomb explosion all those years ago in Japan.  I hope and pray that this Easter Sunday we are nowhere near seeing these things again.  I don’t really think we are but I can’t be absolutely certain.

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Also and Always

Just a few images from my walk around the Yorkshire Sculpture Park the other day.  Some great art and yet again found the outer limits of what the iPhone, in my hands, can do.  So win win.

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Complexity’s complexity

There was a time when much of Britain celebrated Easter, the holiest Christian festival, at a different time to the rest of Western Europe.   This was due to the way that the monks at Iona calculated the date of Easter in relation to the spring equinox.  The monastery in Iona had been established by monks who had sailed from Ireland and so this is known as the Celtic tradition.  However this in itself is somewhat confusing as the Irish tradition of Christianity was established by a British saint – Saint Patrick.  Just to add one final layer of confusion to this story no one would have used the word Celtic to describe themselves or their church.  Celtic is a greek based word and was introduced much much later and it, in my view, is totally misplaced as ‘Celtic’ does not represent the true nature of the complex prehistoric seafaring culture of the British Isle and the western coast of Europe down to modern Portugal.  It is very unlikely to have seen itself as an off shot of a central European proto germanic people later known as ‘the celts’.  The confusion over the date of Easter was finally resolved at the Synod of Whitby when the Roman rather than the British Isles’ dating system was adopted – yet another example of European law superseding a good traditional British system.  (May I apologise to all those who may be offended by my running roughshod over a complex series of interconnected traditions that go back centuries)

This complex story is very apt at this time as it just about sums up the messy relationship between the British Isles and mainland Europe – very similar yet all the time just a little bit different.   Of course Europe isn’t made up of a homogeneous people but many differing views and aspirations not just reflected by the current arrangement  of borders – most modern countries of Europe are very very new – the Bundesrepublik Deutschland (modern Germany) is one of the most recent established in  3rd October 1990.   This tale in a way just shows how complex Brexit will be for all sides – although the Holy Roman Empire, roughly modern central Europe was dissolved simply in 1806 and the constituent parts continue to trading and deal with one another much as before (surely this is the Brexiteers dream scenario).  Of course as with everything in history it was far more complex and many of those complexities took the best part of 150 years of wars to resolve – something that the Brexiteers would like you not to dwell upon.

These strange juxtapositions were going through my head yesterday after reading a wonderfully written article by Lord Pannick QC about the relationship of the British Supreme Court of the European Court of Justice (ECJ) after Brexit.  The nub of the article was how should the Supreme Court use the rulings of the ECJ in their business going forward after Britain has left the European Union as they relate to European rules that will become British rules as a result of the proposed Great Repeal  Act?   Now this may seem a very arcane thing to write about and typical of a lawyer who can’t see the great opportunities that the country will be offered by leaving the European Union.  The problem with this gloss is that as was shown just before Christmas arcane legal arguments can come back and bit you hard if you haven’t sorted them out.   One of the reasons to take this seriously is that the city of London earns a huge amount of money by being the defacto place to sign international contracts.  This is due, inpart, to the English legal system being seen as one of the least corrupt systems in the world and for Britain to succeed we need to keep this business which I am sure we will but this issue will need to be clarified.  I am sure that it will but it needs to be added to the very very long list of issues that need to be  sorted out by the end of March 2019 – just over 700 days away.

I don’t recall any mention of the complexities involved  being mentioned by any of the Brexiteers during the campaign – campaign in poetry indeed govern in prose  – only problem is they weren’t campaigning to govern just to dump a right mess on all of our laps.  Of course all of these issues will be sorted but don’t expect things to be straightforward indeed to quote a leading Brexiteer – ‘There will be a few bumps in the road’.   I suspect the frequency of these bumps will be much greater than a few but this is what we voted for so we have to make the best of this pig’s breakfast.

With those happy thought coursing through your heads may I wish you a happy Easter.

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A brown eyed girl in hand me downs

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The feeling is gone…

Only yesterday I told  my wife that I hadn’t made any images with my Apple pencil in a while – actually it is only 7 days but it seems longer.  I also wondered when I might pick my pencil up and start making some work?  Yesterday I couldn’t see when that might be.  Yesterday is a long time in  to misquote the famous saying about politics because today I just saw something that inspired me and off we go again.

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Lost in Music

We will We will Rock You…

So the song says.

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Face in the Crowd

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Some flowers in your hair

Another unseasonably warm spring day – perhaps this is going to be the way of things to come?   If this is the case then I don’t like to think what the temperatures much further south are going to get.  Luckily Global Warming is all a hoax so that is ok then.

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Holding up the sky

I’ve had time to sleep on the Tony Cragg exhibition at the Yorkshire Sculpture Park and I still think that this is one of the most interesting exhibition I have been to in some time.  I am not sure why that might be, although two competing themes might have something to do with it:  First I knew nothing about his work – nothing – so I was taken aback by the quality and the quantity from not only the sculptures but the drawings that were the start of the creative process.  The second reason is far more personal – I grew up with a master upholsterer as a father so I came to appreciate just what effort went into making something look so enticing.  There is a video at the end of the indoor exhibition space   and watching the huge wood sculptures being made brought back memories of my father working in his workshop – although it was not on the scale of Cragg’s!

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