Having had a few days to think about the result of the local elections I think the following two images will send a cold shiver through the hearts of any Tory supporter in Leicestershire and Rutland – and beyond.


The final Tory hold out, Blaby, only stayed Tory by a few votes so little comfort there. It is even worse when you look at the breakdown of the votes for the new, non city of Leicester, constituencies. Here there is a good chance that NW Leicestershire (1) and Loughborough (2) could go to Labour. For the Liberal Democrats they have a really good chance of picking up Harborough (5) and may be Bosworth (7).

If this does happen it will mean that Leicestershire and Rutland will move from very solid Tory shires to a real mix. Now this would be a truly momentous change. There is a long time, actually perhaps not that long, between now and the General Election but if the local elections do prove to be a guide then as a philosopher might have said
The Tories are Fucked.
We’ll See.

The Conservatives probably need a time on the side lines to refresh themselves. But that doesn’t mean that Labour will carry all before them… so Labour are perhaps stuffed as well.
I don’t think that we’ll see a Labour outright majority but I suspect what we saw in the local elections was that people will vote for anyone to get rid of the Tories. If this is correct then that will mean that mean the LibDems are the real problem in many Tory seats, Harborough being a good example, where they can take seats that Labour never could. If this is the case then we are looking at a Non Conservative majority in the next parliament which of course is what every election result has been but is not reflected in our first past the post system. But that, is whole other story.